Combat Edge Intelligence

Bo Nickal vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record22-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
76"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

Reinier de Ridder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bo Nickal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bo NickalNow 1745
If they win+17→ 1762
If they lose-15→ 1730
Reinier de RidderNow 1770
If they win+15→ 1785
If they lose-17→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
62%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
60%
Strike defense
47%
3.12
Takedown avg.
2.56
5%
Takedown accuracy
10%
100%
Takedown defense
40%
2.27
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Bo NickalReinier de Ridder
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
4 (44%)
Submission
13 (59%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Bo Nickal and Reinier de Ridder within a point of even.

Reinier de Ridder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1745, a 25-point edge.

Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Reinier de Ridder carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.