Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Bo Nickal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rodolfo Vieira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-20→ 1725
If they win+20→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalRodolfo Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal80%
Rodolfo Vieira 20%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 80% favorite over Rodolfo Vieira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Bo Nickal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1647, a 98-point edge.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rodolfo Vieira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 91%.
Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira share 1 common opponent: Cody Brundage.
Bo Nickal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.