Bo Nickal vs Rodolfo Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Bo Nickal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Rodolfo Vieira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1757
If they lose-20→ 1725
If they win+20→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalRodolfo Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal71%
Rodolfo Vieira 29%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 71% favorite over Rodolfo Vieira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Bo Nickal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1664, a 81-point edge.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Vieira 83%.
Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira share 1 common opponent: Cody Brundage.
Bo Nickal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.