Bo Nickal vs Val Woodburn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'8"
76"Reach74.00
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team Happy ValleyTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
Bo Nickal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Val Woodburn carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1749
If they lose-27→ 1717
If they win+40→ 1510
If they lose-8→ 1462
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bo NickalVal Woodburn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bo Nickal92%
Val Woodburn 8%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Bo Nickal a 92% favorite over Val Woodburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Bo Nickal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1470, a 274-point edge.
Bo Nickal enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Val Woodburn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bo Nickal finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Val Woodburn 71%.
Bo Nickal carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.