Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Moffett vs Bryce Mitchell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record19-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamBarata MMA

What's at stake

Bryce Mitchell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bobby Moffett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bobby MoffettNow 1687
If they win+20→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1675
Bryce MitchellNow 1776
If they win+12→ 1788
If they lose-20→ 1756

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
40%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
61%
Strike defense
59%
2.74
Takedown avg.
3.24
67%
Takedown accuracy
36%
67%
Takedown defense
33%
1.37
Submission avg.
1.19

Trajectory

Bobby MoffettBryce Mitchell
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
10 (59%)
Submission
10 (53%)
6 (35%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Mitchell79%
Bobby Moffett 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Mitchell a 79% favorite over Bobby Moffett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Bryce Mitchell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1776 to 1687, a 89-point edge.

Bobby Moffett enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Bryce Mitchell enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bobby Moffett finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Bryce Mitchell 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.