Combat Edge Intelligence

Bobby Southworth vs Don'Tale Mayes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record11-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'6"
TBDReach81"
228 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBronx Hill MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bobby SouthworthNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Don'Tale MayesNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
25%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
66%
Strike defense
47%
1
Takedown avg.
0.64
50%
Takedown accuracy
39%
65%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bobby SouthworthDon'Tale Mayes
15501600200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Bobby Southworth52%
Don'Tale Mayes 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Southworth a 52% favorite over Don'Tale Mayes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don'Tale Mayes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1580), separated by just 3 points.

Don'Tale Mayes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bobby Southworth finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Don'Tale Mayes 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.