Bobby Southworth vs Marcos Brigagao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
228 lbsWeight210 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamD.O METHODOLOGY
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bobby SouthworthMarcos Brigagao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Brigagao65%
Bobby Southworth 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Brigagao a 65% favorite over Bobby Southworth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bobby Southworth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1577), separated by just 0 points.
Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bobby Southworth finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.