Bogdan Grad vs Dennis Buzukja
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeamLongo and Weidman MMA
What's at stake
Bogdan Grad is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Dennis Buzukja carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-20→ 1672
If they win+20→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GradDennis Buzukja
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Grad87%
Dennis Buzukja 13%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 87% favorite over Dennis Buzukja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Bogdan Grad holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1600, a 92-point edge.
Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bogdan Grad finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Dennis Buzukja 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.