Bogdan Grad vs Hakeem Dawodu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record13-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GradHakeem Dawodu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hakeem Dawodu56%
Bogdan Grad 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hakeem Dawodu a 56% favorite over Bogdan Grad in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bogdan Grad's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.
Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Bogdan Grad finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Hakeem Dawodu 54%.
Hakeem Dawodu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.