Bogdan Grad vs Shane Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
ETTL Bros. MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
If they win+24→ 1718
If they lose-24→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GradShane Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Grad57%
Shane Collins 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Grad a 57% favorite over Shane Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Collins's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1694), separated by just 1 points.
Shane Collins enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Bogdan Grad finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.