Bogdan Guskov vs Jan Błachowicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record29-12-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1736
If they lose-15→ 1704
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1759 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovJan Błachowicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bogdan Guskov59%
Jan Błachowicz 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 59% favorite over Jan Błachowicz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jan Błachowicz's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1733), separated by just 14 points.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jan Błachowicz 62%.
Bogdan Guskov and Jan Błachowicz share 1 common opponent: Magomed Ankalaev.
Jan Błachowicz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.