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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bogdan Guskov vs Muhammad Saidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-4-1Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGOR MMA· 1706 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bogdan GuskovNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
Muhammad SaidovNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Bogdan GuskovMuhammad Saidov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (83%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Bogdan Guskov64%
Muhammad Saidov 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bogdan Guskov a 64% favorite over Muhammad Saidov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1713), separated by just 6 points.

Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Saidov 90%.

Bogdan Guskov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.