Bogdan Guskov vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-4-1Record27-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
GOR MMA· 1696 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Robert Whittaker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bogdan Guskov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1737
If they lose-14→ 1705
If they win+11→ 1764
If they lose-13→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bogdan GuskovRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker63%
Bogdan Guskov 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 63% favorite over Bogdan Guskov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Robert Whittaker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1719, a 34-point edge.
Bogdan Guskov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Bogdan Guskov and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Nikita Krylov.
Bogdan Guskov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.