Combat Edge Intelligence

Bojan Veličković vs Justin Burlinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-2Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamThe Dungeon BJJ and MMA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Justin BurlinsonNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
1.24
35%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.09
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.67
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Submission avg.
9.28

Trajectory

Bojan VeličkovićJustin Burlinson
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (32%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
11 (44%)
Submission
6 (75%)
6 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson60%
Bojan Veličković 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 60% favorite over Bojan Veličković in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bojan Veličković's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Bojan Veličković finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Justin Burlinson 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.