Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record15-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Manoel Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Bolaji Oki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1769
If they lose-21→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bolaji OkiManoel Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa64%
Bolaji Oki 36%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 64% favorite over Bolaji Oki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Manoel Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1643, a 115-point edge.
Bolaji Oki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Bolaji Oki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 80%.
Bolaji Oki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.