Bolaji Oki vs Manoel Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record14-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Da Vinci FightingTeamAcademia Octogono
What's at stake
Manoel Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Bolaji Oki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1630
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-20→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bolaji OkiManoel Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa75%
Bolaji Oki 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 75% favorite over Bolaji Oki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Manoel Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1642, a 99-point edge.
Bolaji Oki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bolaji Oki finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 86%.
Bolaji Oki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.