Combat Edge Intelligence

Borislav Nikolić vs Mark Vologdin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-2-0Record12-4-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
-Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SecutorTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Borislav Nikolić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mark Vologdin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Borislav NikolićNow 1693
If they win+13→ 1706
If they lose-19→ 1674
Mark VologdinNow 1635
If they win+19→ 1654
If they lose-13→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Borislav NikolićMark Vologdin
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Borislav Nikolić62%
Mark Vologdin 38%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Borislav Nikolić a 62% favorite over Mark Vologdin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Borislav Nikolić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1635, a 58-point edge.

Borislav Nikolić enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Borislav Nikolić finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.