Combat Edge Intelligence

Borislav Nikolić vs Mark Vologdin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record12-5-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
-Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SecutorTeamAllstars Training Center· 1680 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Borislav Nikolić is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mark Vologdin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Borislav NikolićNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-20→ 1686
Mark VologdinNow 1621
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.93
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
14%
Not available
Takedown defense
57%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Borislav NikolićMark Vologdin
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
8 (47%)
Submission
4 (33%)
2 (12%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Borislav Nikolić58%
Mark Vologdin 42%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Borislav Nikolić a 58% favorite over Mark Vologdin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Borislav Nikolić holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1621, a 85-point edge.

Borislav Nikolić enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Borislav Nikolić finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.