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Combat Edge Intelligence

Botond Petrényi vs Charlie Ward

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Charlie Ward
ie

Charlie Ward

“Relentless”

10-7-0MiddleweightBFC

1559Solid

Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record10-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReach42,0"
TBDWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Botond PetrényiNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Charlie WardNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1468 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.64
Not available
Strike accuracy
19%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.21
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Botond PetrényiCharlie Ward
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Ward53%
Botond Petrényi 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Ward a 53% favorite over Botond Petrényi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Botond Petrényi's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1559), separated by just 0 points.

Botond Petrényi enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Charlie Ward enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charlie Ward 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.