Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Pickett vs Mark Vologdin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record12-5-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68,0"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610
Mark VologdinNow 1621
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
6.93
32%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10
56%
Strike defense
41%
2.47
Takedown avg.
0.50
45%
Takedown accuracy
14%
58%
Takedown defense
57%
0.44
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad PickettMark Vologdin
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
10 (40%)
Submission
4 (33%)
8 (32%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Mark Vologdin71%
Brad Pickett 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mark Vologdin a 71% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Pickett's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.

Brad Pickett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.