Brad Pickett vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-14-0Record23-12-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68,0"Reach 70"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
Marlon Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brad Pickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1613
If they win+9→ 1719
If they lose-15→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad PickettMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera84%
Brad Pickett 16%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 84% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Marlon Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1622, a 88-point edge.
Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brad Pickett finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.
Marlon Vera carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.