Brad Riddell vs Fabrizio Escarrega
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
71"Reach-
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
City KickboxingTeamVictory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Brad Riddell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Fabrizio Escarrega carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-17→ 1631
If they win+17→ 1650
If they lose-15→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad RiddellFabrizio Escarrega
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabrizio Escarrega66%
Brad Riddell 34%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabrizio Escarrega a 66% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Riddell's way (48%).
Brad Riddell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1633, a 15-point edge.
Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Fabrizio Escarrega 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.