Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Riddell vs Joaquim Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad RiddellNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
54%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.39
36%
Takedown accuracy
50%
63%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Brad RiddellJoaquim Silva
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (21%)
5 (50%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Brad Riddell52%
Joaquim Silva 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brad Riddell a 52% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joaquim Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.

Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brad Riddell finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joaquim Silva 71%.

Brad Riddell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.