Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brad Tavares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-9→ 1689
If they win+9→ 1786
If they lose-15→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues92%
Brad Tavares 8%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 92% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1698, a 79-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.