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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brad Tavares vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-12-0Record22-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brad TavaresNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
44%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.02
25%
Takedown accuracy
42%
80%
Takedown defense
53%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brad TavaresMichał Oleksiejczuk
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (24%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (5%)
14 (67%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk54%
Brad Tavares 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 54% favorite over Brad Tavares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brad Tavares's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1697), separated by just 2 points.

Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Brad Tavares and Michał Oleksiejczuk share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Gerald Meerschaert
WinTKO · 2025