Brad Tavares vs Robert Bryczek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamVeto Team Bielsko-Biala
What's at stake
Brad Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Robert Bryczek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1710
If they lose-13→ 1686
If they win+18→ 1677
If they lose-14→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brad TavaresRobert Bryczek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Tavares70%
Robert Bryczek 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Tavares a 70% favorite over Robert Bryczek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Brad Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1659, a 40-point edge.
Brad Tavares enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brad Tavares finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.