Combat Edge Intelligence

Bradley Scott vs Jack Hermansson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record24-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76,0"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragons Lair MMATeamFrontline Academy

What's at stake

Jack Hermansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bradley Scott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Bradley ScottNow 1586
If they win+22→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1576
Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
57%
Strike defense
57%
0.32
Takedown avg.
1.50
15%
Takedown accuracy
30%
64%
Takedown defense
81%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Bradley ScottJack Hermansson
1600165017001750201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
11 (46%)
5 (45%)
Submission
6 (25%)
1 (9%)
Decision
7 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Hermansson72%
Bradley Scott 28%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 72% favorite over Bradley Scott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Jack Hermansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1586, a 135-point edge.

Bradley Scott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bradley Scott finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Jack Hermansson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.