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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brady Hiestand vs Lewis McGrillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
71"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brady HiestandNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
Lewis McGrillenNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
4.80
Takedown avg.
Not available
15%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.07
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brady HiestandLewis McGrillen
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
4 (44%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (22%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Brady Hiestand55%
Lewis McGrillen 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brady Hiestand a 55% favorite over Lewis McGrillen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1682), separated by just 0 points.

Brady Hiestand enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Brady Hiestand finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 85%.

Brady Hiestand carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.