Brandon Brachet vs Fernando Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record16-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bulgarian Top Team· 1614 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon BrachetFernando Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fernando Padilla62%
Brandon Brachet 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fernando Padilla a 62% favorite over Brandon Brachet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Brachet's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1675), separated by just 0 points.
Brandon Brachet enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Brandon Brachet finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Fernando Padilla 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.