Brandon Davis vs Nkosi Ndebele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-12-0Record12-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach75"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alan Belcher MMA ClubTeamNova MMA Academy
What's at stake
Nkosi Ndebele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Brandon Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1617
If they lose-12→ 1585
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-20→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisNkosi Ndebele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nkosi Ndebele73%
Brandon Davis 27%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Nkosi Ndebele a 73% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Nkosi Ndebele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1597, a 83-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 58%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.