Brandon Davis vs Nkosi Ndebele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record14-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"Reach75"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Nkosi Ndebele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-8→ 1577
If they win+11→ 1719
If they lose-21→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon DavisNkosi Ndebele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nkosi Ndebele74%
Brandon Davis 26%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Nkosi Ndebele a 74% favorite over Brandon Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Nkosi Ndebele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1585, a 123-point edge.
Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brandon Davis finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 50%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.