Brandon Hashimoto vs Jhonata Diniz
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jhonata Diniz53%
Brandon Hashimoto 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 53% favorite over Brandon Hashimoto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brandon Hashimoto's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1652), separated by just 4 points.
Brandon Hashimoto enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jhonata Diniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Hashimoto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jhonata Diniz 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record9-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-Reach 79"
231 lbsWeight255 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HashimotoJhonata Diniz