Brandon Hashimoto vs Thomas Petersen
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Petersen56%
Brandon Hashimoto 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Petersen a 56% favorite over Brandon Hashimoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1660), separated by just 4 points.
Brandon Hashimoto enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Thomas Petersen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brandon Hashimoto finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Petersen 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
231 lbsWeight257 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon HashimotoThomas Petersen