Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Holmes vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brandon HolmesNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
Jackson McVeyNow 1619
If they win+24→ 1643
If they lose-24→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
69%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
TBD
Strike defense
24%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Brandon HolmesJackson McVey
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (57%)
2 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brandon Holmes and Jackson McVey within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

Brandon Holmes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Jackson McVey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.