Brandon Jenkins vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record27-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamEnbo Fight Club
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Brandon Jenkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-8→ 1541
If they win+6→ 1739
If they lose-18→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon JenkinsRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu92%
Brandon Jenkins 8%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 92% favorite over Brandon Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1549, a 184-point edge.
Rongzhu enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.