Brandon Jenkins vs Rongzhu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-12-0Record29-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
71"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamEnbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Rongzhu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Brandon Jenkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-8→ 1549
If they win+6→ 1761
If they lose-18→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon JenkinsRongzhu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rongzhu85%
Brandon Jenkins 15%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 85% favorite over Brandon Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Rongzhu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1557, a 198-point edge.
Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Jenkins finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rongzhu 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.