Brandon Moreno vs Deiveson Figueiredo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record25-7-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTeam Figueiredo
What's at stake
Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brandon Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1761
If they lose-11→ 1737
If they win+11→ 1775
If they lose-13→ 1751
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoDeiveson Figueiredo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno52%
Deiveson Figueiredo 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 52% favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Deiveson Figueiredo's way (48%).
Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1748, a 16-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Deiveson Figueiredo 72%.
Brandon Moreno carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.