Brandon Moreno vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jussier Formiga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1759
If they lose-13→ 1735
If they win+13→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno70%
Jussier Formiga 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 70% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1726, a 22-point edge.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Brandon Moreno and Jussier Formiga share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO - Doctor's Stoppage · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinSubmission · 2021
WinDEC · 2019