Brandon Moreno vs Jussier Formiga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-2Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Brandon Moreno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jussier Formiga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1768
If they lose-13→ 1744
If they win+13→ 1739
If they lose-11→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoJussier Formiga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Moreno79%
Jussier Formiga 21%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Moreno a 79% favorite over Jussier Formiga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Brandon Moreno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1726, a 31-point edge.
Brandon Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jussier Formiga 46%.
Brandon Moreno and Jussier Formiga share 1 common opponent: Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.