Brandon Moreno vs Manel Kape
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-2Record23-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon MorenoManel Kape
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manel Kape51%
Brandon Moreno 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manel Kape a 51% favorite over Brandon Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1750), separated by just 2 points.
Brandon Moreno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Manel Kape enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brandon Moreno finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Manel Kape 87%.
Brandon Moreno and Manel Kape share 1 common opponent: Brandon Royval.
Brandon Moreno carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.