Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Lone’er Kavanagh
Elo1671GoodTale of the tape
18-9-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
68"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Factory XTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Brandon Royval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lone’er Kavanagh carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-13→ 1698
If they win+18→ 1689
If they lose-14→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brandon RoyvalLone’er Kavanagh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Royval70%
Lone’er Kavanagh 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 70% favorite over Lone’er Kavanagh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Brandon Royval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1671, a 40-point edge.
Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.
Brandon Royval and Lone’er Kavanagh share 1 common opponent: Brandon Moreno.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.