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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brandon Royval vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record22-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Brandon Royval is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brandon RoyvalNow 1711
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-14→ 1697
Tim ElliottNow 1657
If they win+14→ 1671
If they lose-10→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.51
42%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
43%
Strike defense
56%
0.65
Takedown avg.
3.61
75%
Takedown accuracy
25%
45%
Takedown defense
59%
1.08
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Brandon RoyvalTim Elliott
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
10 (56%)
Submission
8 (36%)
4 (22%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Royval77%
Tim Elliott 23%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 77% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Brandon Royval holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1657, a 54-point edge.

Brandon Royval finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.

Brandon Royval and Tim Elliott share 1 common opponent: Matheus Nicolau.

Brandon Royval carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Matheus Nicolau
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2021