Brendan Allen vs Johnny Eblen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record18-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Eblen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1842
If they lose-13→ 1818
If they win+17→ 1831
If they lose-15→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenJohnny Eblen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen75%
Johnny Eblen 25%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 75% favorite over Johnny Eblen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1831 to 1814, a 17-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eblen 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.