Brendan Allen vs Krzysztof Jotko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Krzysztof Jotko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1828
If they lose-14→ 1804
If they win+14→ 1783
If they lose-10→ 1759
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenKrzysztof Jotko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen59%
Krzysztof Jotko 41%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 59% favorite over Krzysztof Jotko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1769, a 49-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.
Krzysztof Jotko carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.