Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1826
If they lose-16→ 1802
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-8→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen84%
Marvin Vettori 16%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 84% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1688, a 130-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.