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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-11-1MiddleweightUFC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

27-7-0Record19-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendan AllenNow 1819
If they win+7→ 1826
If they lose-17→ 1802
Marvin VettoriNow 1676
If they win+17→ 1693
If they lose-7→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.75
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
52%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
48%
Strike defense
56%
1.52
Takedown avg.
1.41
4%
Takedown accuracy
11%
58%
Takedown defense
69%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Brendan AllenMarvin Vettori
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
14 (52%)
Submission
9 (47%)
7 (26%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Brendan Allen78%
Marvin Vettori 22%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 78% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1819 to 1676, a 143-point edge.

Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.