Brendan Allen vs Punahele Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Punahele Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1826
If they lose-16→ 1802
If they win+21→ 1732
If they lose-11→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenPunahele Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen71%
Punahele Soriano 29%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 71% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1711, a 107-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.
Brendan Allen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.