Brendan Allen vs Punahele Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-7-0Record13-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Punahele Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1839
If they lose-16→ 1815
If they win+22→ 1717
If they lose-10→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendan AllenPunahele Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen94%
Punahele Soriano 6%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 94% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1831 to 1695, a 136-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Brendan Allen finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.
Brendan Allen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.