Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendon Marotte vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record18-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
New England Cartel· 1665 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

Terrance McKinney is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brendon Marotte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendon MarotteNow 1595
If they win+19→ 1614
If they lose-13→ 1582
Terrance McKinneyNow 1662
If they win+10→ 1672
If they lose-14→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
50%
Strike accuracy
56%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
29%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
3.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Brendon MarotteTerrance McKinney
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
1 (13%)
Submission
9 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance McKinney67%
Brendon Marotte 33%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance McKinney a 67% favorite over Brendon Marotte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Terrance McKinney holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1595, a 67-point edge.

Brendon Marotte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brendon Marotte finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Terrance McKinney carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.