Brendson Ribeiro vs Felipe Franco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record11-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
81"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGalpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Felipe Franco is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brendson Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1574
If they lose-11→ 1542
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-21→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendson RibeiroFelipe Franco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendson Ribeiro52%
Felipe Franco 48%Elo baseline: 34%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 52% favorite over Felipe Franco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Franco's way (34%).
Felipe Franco holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1553, a 112-point edge.
Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Franco 100%.
Brendson Ribeiro carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.