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UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro

DateOct 10, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 10, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Sat 8:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 5:00 PM
United Kingdom
Sun 1:00 AM
Central Europe
Sun 2:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 11:00 AM
Felipe FrancoNegao |11-2-0Felipe Franco vs Brendson RibeiroBrendson RibeiroThe Gorilla |17-11-0
brFelipe FrancoNegao11-2-0Felipe Francobr

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
11-2-0Record17-11-0
25Age30
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach81"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight
brBrendson RibeiroThe Gorilla17-11-0brBrendson Ribeiro
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Felipe Franco owns a 112-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Felipe Franco and Brendson Ribeiro across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Felipe FrancoBrendson Ribeiro
155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Felipe FrancoW L W W L · -9 Elo last 5
WLWWL
Brendson RibeiroL L L L W · -21 Elo last 5
LLLLW

Elo edge

Felipe Franco1665+18 last move
Brendson Ribeiro1553-12 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
72%Felipe Franco28%Brendson Ribeiro
Model favoriteFelipe Franco
Elo baseline66% for Felipe Franco
Matchup adjustment+6 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Felipe Franco leads the full model at 72%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 6 points.

Current Elo ratings1665 · 1553Felipe Franco leads by 112 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1535 · 1654Brendson Ribeiro faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth13 · 23 fightsBrendson Ribeiro has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesFelipe Franco 2 · 2 Brendson RibeiroStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Brendson Ribeiro.

Stat advantages

Felipe FrancovsBrendson Ribeiro
Takedown accuracy
0%vs43%
Takedown defense
88%vs21%
Takedown average
3.02vs0.85
Submission average
0vs0.57

Finishing profile

Felipe FrancoKO/TKO leads 64% of wins
Brendson RibeiroKO/TKO leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Felipe FrancoBrendson Ribeiro

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.81Sig. strikes landed per min3.04
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.99
51Sig. strike accuracy43
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
2.55Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.91
UFC light heavyweight average : 3.74
38Sig. strike defense53
UFC light heavyweight average : 50%
3.02Takedown average0.85
UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37
0Takedown accuracy43
UFC light heavyweight average : 28%
88Takedown defense21
UFC light heavyweight average : 57%
0Submission average0.57
UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59
7Wins by knockout9
4Wins by submission7
0Wins by decision1
0Losses by knockout5
1Losses by submission3
1Losses by decision3

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN. Felipe Franco enters with a 11-2-0 record and Brendson Ribeiro enters with a 17-11-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro quick answers

When is Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro?

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro is listed for UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN on Oct 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.

What event is Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro on?

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro is listed on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ALLEN VS DUNCAN.

What are the records for Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro?

Felipe Franco enters with a 11-2-0 record and Brendson Ribeiro enters with a 17-11-0 record.

What division is Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro?

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro is listed as a Light Heavyweight fight.

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