Combat Edge Intelligence

Brendson Ribeiro vs Magomed Tuchalov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
81"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1641 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamDagestan Fighter

What's at stake

Magomed Tuchalov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +16 while a loss costs more — Brendson Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brendson RibeiroNow 1553
If they win+21→ 1574
If they lose-11→ 1542
Magomed TuchalovNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-32→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.85
Takedown avg.
Not available
43%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
21%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.57
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brendson RibeiroMagomed Tuchalov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
7 (41%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Tuchalov65%
Brendson Ribeiro 35%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Tuchalov a 65% favorite over Brendson Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Magomed Tuchalov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1553, a 113-point edge.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 86%.

Brendson Ribeiro and Magomed Tuchalov share 1 common opponent: Caio Machado.

Brendson Ribeiro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Split) · 2024
Caio Machado
WinKO (Punch) · 2026