Brendson Ribeiro vs Mingyang Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamQingdao Xinjiang International Fight Club
What's at stake
Mingyang Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brendson Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1554
If they win+9→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brendson RibeiroMingyang Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mingyang Zhang63%
Brendson Ribeiro 37%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mingyang Zhang a 63% favorite over Brendson Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mingyang Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1566, a 90-point edge.
Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mingyang Zhang 100%.
Brendson Ribeiro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.