Brendson Ribeiro vs Mingyang Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
81"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamQingdao Xinjiang International Fight Club
What's at stake
Mingyang Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brendson Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1598
If they lose-12→ 1566
If they win+9→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brendson RibeiroMingyang Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendson Ribeiro67%
Mingyang Zhang 33%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendson Ribeiro a 67% favorite over Mingyang Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mingyang Zhang's way (39%).
Mingyang Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1578, a 78-point edge.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brendson Ribeiro finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mingyang Zhang 100%.
Brendson Ribeiro carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.