Brent Primus vs Vadim Ogar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record10-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach-
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1650 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Brent Primus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vadim Ogar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1696
If they lose-23→ 1664
If they win+23→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brent PrimusVadim Ogar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brent Primus80%
Vadim Ogar 20%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Brent Primus a 80% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Brent Primus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1536, a 151-point edge.
Brent Primus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brent Primus finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Ogar 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.