Vadim Ogar vs Brent Primus

Sep 12, 2026

Combat Edge model forecast17%Vadim Ogar83%Brent PrimusFull forecast

DateSep 12, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueBasket Hall

BroadcastNetwork TBD

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 12, 2026.

US East (ET): Sat 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 10:00 PM
Your time

Vadim Ogar10-8-0Vadim Ogar vs Brent PrimusBrent Primus16-6-0

Vadim Ogar10-8-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

10-8-0Record16-6-0

35Age41

5'9"Height5'10"

-Reach73"

157 lbsWeight155 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Brent Primus16-6-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Brent Primus owns a 167-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Vadim Ogar and Brent Primus across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Vadim OgarBrent Primus

Recent form

Vadim OgarL L W W W · +26 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Brent PrimusL L W L W · -31 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Vadim Ogar1522-15 last move

Brent Primus1689-17 last move

Why they are ranked here

Vadim Ogar#70 of 87 active Catchweight fighters · 1522 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Bekbolsun Rysbekov (rated 1500 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Charlie Campbell (rated 1570 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +26 Elo in total.
Next places: 4 points behind #69 Mahamade Demba Samba, 6 ahead of #71 Piotr Strus.

Brent Primus#88 of 432 active Lightweight fighters · 1689 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Benson Henderson (rated 1752 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Alfie Davis (rated 1686 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -31 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #87 Robert Watley, 0 ahead of #89 Miloš Janičić.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

17%Vadim Ogar83%Brent Primus

Model favoriteBrent Primus

Elo baseline70% for Brent Primus

Matchup adjustment+13 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Brent PrimusStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Brent Primus leads the full model at 83%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 12 points.

Current Elo ratings1522 · 1689Brent Primus leads by 167 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1534 · 1640Brent Primus faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth17 · 22 fightsBrent Primus has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Vadim OgarNow 1522 · #70 Catchweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1545

Loses by decision-9→ 1513

Brent PrimusNow 1689 · #88 Lightweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1698

Loses by decision-23→ 1666

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Vadim OgarvsBrent Primus

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Vadim Ogarsubmission leads 60% of wins

Brent Primussubmission leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Vadim OgarBrent Primus

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.65

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 1.42

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC welterweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC welterweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

1Wins by knockout2

6Wins by submission9

3Wins by decision5

3Losses by knockout2

2Losses by submission0

3Losses by decision4

Vadim Ogar vs Brent Primus is a scheduled Fight card fight on ACA 207 : GONCHAROV VS ALMEIDA. Vadim Ogar enters with a 10-8-0 record and Brent Primus enters with a 16-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.