Brett Bye vs Frank Lester
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Next Edge Academy of Martial ArtsTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brett ByeFrank Lester
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brett Bye59%
Frank Lester 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brett Bye a 59% favorite over Frank Lester in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Lester's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1503), separated by just 3 points.
Frank Lester 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.