Brian Bowles vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record21-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian BowlesJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda74%
Brian Bowles 26%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 74% favorite over Brian Bowles in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Bowles's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1684), separated by just 0 points.
Brian Bowles enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Bowles finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.